Historic numbers are good omen for LSU in battle with Bama

WWL Newsroom
November 07, 2019 - 12:15 pm

By: Tim Zimmer

It’s been eight straight seasons since the LSU Tigers knocked off the Alabama Crimson Tide. So what makes this year different? Well, some interesting stats say LSU could be on their way to something special.

The Tigers come in as the #1 ranked team in the country according to the AP. Alabama is ranked #2 in that same poll. The Tigers, however, come in as a (+6.5) underdog Saturday in Tuscaloosa.

According to ESPN’s Chris Fallica in the last 40 seasons of college football there have been five times in which the #1 and #2 AP teams played in the regular season, where the #1 ranked team came in as the underdog.

In those five meetings, the #1 ranked team won every time. The last time this happened was ironically the last time the Tigers beat the Tide in the 2011 (9-6) victory.

Another good omen for LSU is where the Tigers place in the initial college football playoff rankings. This week LSU comes in as the #2 team behind #1 Ohio State. While many LSU fans may be fuming about the rankings, the last three teams, who were ranked #2 in the initial college football rankings, all raised the national championship trophy at the end of the season. (2018: Clemson, 2017: Alabama, 2016: Clemson)

There’s also some pessimism in this LSU-Tide matchup. Since the 2008 season, Alabama only lost four home games in Bryant-Denny Stadium. The Tide has a combined record of 78-4 in that time span. Those losses include the Cam Newton comeback victory in 2010; Johnny Manziel’s incredible performance in 2012; and Ole Miss & Hugh Freeze knocking Bama off in 2015. The final game? LSU’s 9-6 win in 2011.

One big takeaway from all those losses is that it will take either a Heisman performance or an incredible offensive output from the opposing QB. Joe Burrow and the Tigers check both of those boxes.

So, if the LSU Tigers can come out with a win in Tuscaloosa Saturday, they’ll need Joe Burrow to have his Heisman moment, which would solidify his claim for the Heisman and Davey O'Brien trophies.

GEAUX Tigers!

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