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LSU Bowl Projections depend on Alabama game

A short list of possibilities for the Tigers

”The Last Lap with Seth Dunlap”
October 29, 2018 - 11:33 pm
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By:  Tim Zimmer, WWL.com

The first College Football Playoff rankings come out Tuesday, in which the LSU Tigers will likely be ranked #4. Whether LSU stays in the top four all depends on the result in Baton Rouge this weekend versus Alabama.

What we do know is that LSU has seven wins on the season and we can almost certainly give them nine wins, when they take on Arkansas and Rice later in November. That would mean a win against either Alabama or Texas A&M would give the Tigers at least 10 wins and likely a spot in a New Year’s Six Bowl. The reason that 10th win is so critical for the Tigers is that other SEC schools including Georgia, Kentucky and Florida are all fighting for a New Year’s Bowl or better.

It’ll be interesting to see which teams the bowls select, if LSU has 10 wins along with two SEC East schools. Nonetheless, here are the top five bowl projections for LSU based on how the Tigers finish the season.

 

1) Allstate Sugar Bowl

If LSU doesn’t get a win vs Alabama Saturday, the Tigers’ likely destination will be right here in New Orleans. LSU would still have to defeat the Texas A&M Aggies to pick up their 10th win, but having a local flavor like the Tigers should fill up the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.  LSU’s likely opponent would be the Big 12 champion. The three likely opponents would be West Virginia, Oklahoma and Texas. While a Sugar Bowl rematch from 2004 of LSU vs Oklahoma would be exciting, Tom Herman and his Texas Longhorns would give us plenty of storylines. My prediction: LSU vs Oklahoma

 

2) Citrus Bowl

This selection for the Tigers seems very unlikely. LSU has finished their season in Orlando the past two years, and you rarely see teams play in the same bowl game in back to back seasons.  If the Tigers get placed here, it’s because they likely finished the year with nine wins. The only way this game could be interesting is if Michigan or Ohio St lost another game, placing them here in the Citrus. For all purposes of bowl selections, this seems like a longshot. My prediction: LSU vs Penn St.

 

3) Outback Bowl

Like the Citrus Bowl, LSU would need to lose both games vs Alabama and Texas A&M to land in this spot. The Outback is the first of the New Year’s Day bowl games, but doesn’t have the excitement anymore like the New Year’s Six Bowls (Peach & Fiesta Bowls). The loser of the Big 10 championship game would likely land as the Tigers opponent in this matchup.  My prediction: LSU vs Northwestern

 

4) Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl

If the Sugar Bowl decides to take an SEC East school, this would leave the door open for LSU to land in a bowl game in Atlanta. There are two ways the Tigers could end up here. Winning their 10th game of the season vs the Aggies or defeating the Crimson Tide and somehow dropping a remaining SEC game vs Arkansas or Texas A&M. This matchup would place LSU against an “At-Large” opponent, which could give us an interesting matchup. The undefeated Central Florida Knights would be the juiciest matchup for college football fans. The last time the Knights loss was December of 2016, so LSU could be the team that ends the streak. Another opponent could be the odd team out of the Big 10 or Pac-12. Ohio State, Michigan or Washington State could all be chosen as an at-large play here. My prediction: LSU vs UCF

 

5) Goodyear Cotton Bowl or Capital One Orange Bowl

I saved the best for last. The Tigers could end up in either bowl based on the final four playoff rankings. Of course, LSU would have to run the table and defeat Alabama, Arkansas, Texas A&M and the SEC East winner.  That said, if the Tigers end up in either bowl game, Coach O would be the top candidate for “Coach of the Year” in college football. The likely opponents would be Clemson, Notre Dame and Michigan/Ohio State.   My prediction:   Orange Bowl: #2 LSU vs #3 Notre Dame, Cotton Bowl: #1 Clemson vs #4 Alabama

 

Be sure to listen to WWL Radio's extensive LSU football coverage every weekday on "Sports Talk" with Bobby Hebert (M-F, 4-8 p.m. CDT) and "The Last Lap" with Seth Dunlap (Tu-Th 8-11 p.m. CDT)

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