Wave now less likely to develop in the tropics

Dave Cohen, WWL First News early edition
November 13, 2018 - 7:03 am

The National Hurricane Center had dramatically dropped the chances that a system headed for the Caribbean with develop into a depression or tropical storm.

After setting the development chance at 90% initially, federal forecasters have dropped the chance to just 30%.

"Disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms moving through the Leeward Islands are associated with a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level low," the NHC said in an advisory.  "Strong upper-level winds and interaction with the islands of the Greater Antilles, while the system moves generally westward, should inhibit tropical cyclone formation."

The wave is not expected to get to the Gulf of Mexico, but could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next few days.

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