Hurricane season: All but over?

El Niño could further weaken storm development

Chris Miller
September 20, 2018 - 6:26 am

We are past the peak of the hurricane season, at least as far as the calendar is concerned, with one close call among the ten named storms we've had so far. El Niño could further reduce the storm season's activity, but time is running out.

The Climate Prediction Center still has an El Niño watch posted, with a better than 50 percent chance the phenomenon will appear this fall. State climatologist Barry Keim there's still time for it to make a difference.

"Hurricane Rita came in late September, although we've had a hurricane making landfall in Louisiana as late as Halloween," said Keim. 

But according to Keim, the worst part of the season for Louisiana historically has been late August or early September, and we're past that most dangerous point.

"If you think about some of the big storms that have hit us, historically, the latter part of August and the first week or so of September, it seems like we've seen most of our really bad storms." Keim points out. "We tend to be more front loaded than back loaded here in Louisiana."

So, after a mad flurry of named storms to start September, things are slowing down in a hurry... but not necessarily over. 

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