Tropical development 'likely' in Gulf

Future of system unclear

Dave Cohen, WWL First News early edition
October 05, 2018 - 10:24 pm

A low pressure system is expected to develop in the Gulf of Mexico.

"Long-term forecast models are showing that this low could move into the Central/Eastern Gulf next week," according to WWL TV Chief Meteorologist Carl Arredondo.

He says that there is a lot of uncertainty with the forecast models.

"It is too soon to say if it will be anything."
 
Arredondo says it's also too early to know where it will go.

The National Hurricane Center has given the system an 80 percent of becoming a tropical depression or tropical storm.

"Environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development, and a tropical depression will likely form over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southern Gulf of Mexico by late this weekend or early next week," according to an NHC advisory.

Where will it go?

The Hurricane Center says it will head "slowly toward the northwest and north."

Arredondo says that since it is not an organized system yet, models will change.  He notes they "could change a lot."

So it is just not clear what will happen with the system and where it will go. 

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