Could a storm form in the Gulf?

Dave Cohen, WWL First News early edition
October 05, 2018 - 11:16 am

Forecasters are watching an area of disturbed weather headed from the Caribbean toward the Gulf of Mexico.

"Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located near Cabo Gracias a Dios on the eastern border of Honduras and Nicaragua have become more concentrated," according to an advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

While federal forecasters give the system just a 30 percent development chance over the next three days, there is a 60 percent shot at becoming a tropical depression or storm over the next five days.

"The upper-level environment is expected to be conducive enough to allow slow development, and a tropical depression could form by late this weekend or early next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico."

The Hurricane Center says that regardless of tropical formation, this disturbance will continue to bring torrential rains primarily to portions of Central America and the Yucatan peninsula during the next few days.

National Weather Service Meteorologist Megan Williams, in the Slidell office, says the system's path is a mystery.

"It's really uncertain to say where it is going to go," she explained. "If it were to make its way here, it would bring gusty winds and heavy rainfall."

Forecasters hope computer models can get a better handle on the system over the weekend.

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