Disturbance moving through Gulf could bring heavy rain to Louisiana, might not

Dave Cohen, WWL First News early edition
October 16, 2019 - 10:01 am

The National Hurricane Center is watching a trough of low pressure moving into the Bay of Campeche.

"Gradual development is possible, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form late this week over the western or central Gulf of Mexico while the system is moving generally northeastward," U.S. Navy Hurricane Specialist Dave Roberts said. 

The system is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.   

"An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary."

Roberts say the formation chance through five days is 50 percent.

Where is this thing headed?

"It if tracks over us, that would give us pretty good rain on Saturday," WWL TV Meteorologist Dave Nussbaum said.  "Do plan for rain."

He says, however, all of the rain may stay off the coast.

"Only one model is giving us some pretty good rain," Nussbaum noted. "All of the others are taking this system just south of the mouth of the Mississippi River." 

He says if it stays over the Gulf, we will see much less rain the city.

Nussbaum says we really won't know until Friday what will happen Saturday.

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