Conditions look less favorable for tropical development of Atlantic wave

System forecast to stay away from Gulf, US

Chris Miller
August 02, 2019 - 2:41 pm

A tropical wave, dubbed Invest 96L by government forecasters, is showing less potential for development.

"An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles southeast of the Lesser Antilles is generating widespread disorganized showers," said the National Hurricane Center in its 1:00 p.m. Tropical Weather Outlook. "Some slow development of this system is still possible, and a tropical depression could form well east of the Leeward Islands by early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph."

However, the system is expected to then run into a more hostile environment for storm development.

"Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for development as the system approaches the Leeward Islands Tuesday and Wednesday," said the hurricane center.

Forecasters are giving the system a 20 percent chance of becoming a depression or storm over the next two days, and a 40 percent chance of development through five days.

WWL TV Meteorologist Chris Franklin says regardless of development, the system does not appear headed for the Gulf of Mexico or the US.

"Still looks like whatever is left of the tropical wave will travel across the Caribbean, or get picked up by the Bermuda High and curve before ever reaching the US East coast."

 

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