With Cantrell in a double-digit lead, can Charbonnet catch up in the race for mayor of N.O.?

Jim Hanzo
November 14, 2017 - 8:30 am

The New Orleans mayoral election is only 5 days away and the latest UNO poll still shows LaToya Cantrell with a double digit lead over Desiree Charbonnet.   But can Charbonnet make up enough ground in time for Saturday's election?  

3 and a half weeks ago that lead for Cantrell stood at 18 to 20 percentage points.  Now it's down to 11.  Political analyst Clancy Dubos says it's not impossible but Charbonnet still has some work to do.  He expects the ads will ramp up this week from both sides.  

"If a vast majority of the voters had already made up their minds and were firm in their decisions I would say that the race is all but over but I get the sense that a good number of voters out there are not absolutely committed to either candidate," Dubos said.  "They're leaning in what direction or another, so I think there are still a lot of votes up for grabs."    

One fifth of the voters are still undecided, according to the latest UNO poll. 

"If only 20 percent of the voters are undecided, that suggests that there is not a lot of room for Charbonnet to catch up, but turnout is always a factor," he added.  "It's not just a question of how many voters are still up for grabs, it's also a question of how many voters for each candidate actually show up to vote."    

The candidate with the most committed voters will be the candidate that wins, according to Dubos.  

Dubos also expects a lot of ads to come out this week.  With a lot more negative from the Charbonnet camp, because she is trailing.  Election for mayor is this Saturday. 

Tune in tomorrow night at 7:00pm for the WWL Radio / New Orleans Advocate mayoral debate.  Candidates LaToya Cantrell and Desiree Charbonnet will face questions from WWL's Newell Normand and the Advocate's Stephanie Grace.  That's Wednesday night at 7:00 p.m. on WWL AM & FM and WWL.com.

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